推进广东省现役制边检站科学发展的几点思考

随着国家改革开放政策的逐步深入,广东省现役制边防检查站的发展面临着新的机遇和挑战。要从完善政策法规、落实服务定式、合理整合资源、推动执法规范化建设、加强业务培训、实施科技强警等方面入手,着力解决供给保障、形象地位、机构设置、队伍素质、执法水平、顺应形势等问题,全力推进广东省现役制边防检查站科学发展。     

微小管道机器人机构设计及动力学分析

设计了一种蠕动式微小管道机器人,采用三组直流电机与螺旋传动装置,通过控制三组电机顺序协调动作,实现了机器人的蠕动前进。研究了机器人在竖直管道中驱动负载的情况,以及爪子适应管径变化的力学调节特征。利用ADAMS动力学分析软件,对机构做了运动学和动力学仿真,通过仿真得到了牵引力和移动速度与结构参数之间的关系。仿真表明,机器人可以适应15~20mm的管道,驱动力达到28N,移动速度为6mm/s。     

Optimal burn‐in procedure for periodically inspected systems

Burn‐in is a widely used method to improve the quality of products or systems after they have been produced. In this paper, we study burn‐in procedure for a system that is maintained under periodic inspection and perfect repair policy. Assuming that the underlying lifetime distribution of a system has an initially decreasing and/or eventually increasing failure rate function, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal burn‐in time, which maximizes the system availability. Furthermore, adopting an age replacement policy, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal age parameter of the replacement policy for each fixed burn‐in time and a uniform upper bound for the optimal burn‐in time given the age replacement policy. These results can be used to reduce the numerical work for determining both optimal burn‐in time and optimal replacement policy. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

导弹仿真试验结果静态一致性检验及其置信度

分析了仿真试验结果与飞行试验结果进行静态一致性检验的方法,分为参数方法和非参数方法。然后讨论一致性检验的置信度,给出了置信度与弃真概率和采伪概率的关系并说明要选择恰当的显著性水平,以保证检验的置信度具有合理性。     

一种新型的武器系统试验训练设备─—零飞试验仪

零飞试验仪（以下简称零飞仪）是一种用于火炮武器系统瞄准精度的检查、试验和训练仪器。当火炮武器系统进行真实目标试验时,设定弹丸飞行时间等于零（即零飞工作方式）．火炮炮管轴线应该直接指向目标。零飞仪就是与这种工作方式相配合的试验仪器,它有广泛的推广应用价值,可用于火炮、导弹武器系统的陆上联调、靶场试验、维修和训练。该设备具有８０年代国际先进水平,填补了国内空白。     

基于高阶累积量与神经网络的干扰识别算法

研究了一种基于高阶累积量和神经网络的干扰识别算法。该方法把卫星通信中常见的各种干扰信号的归一化高阶累积量作为分类特征参数,应用神经网络对特征参数进行分类训练,将接收干扰信号的归一化高阶累积量输入已训练的神经网络进行干扰类型的识别。试验结果表明:该算法在低干信比的情况下具有较高的识别准确率。     

Using container inspection history to improve interdiction logistics for illicit nuclear materials

Strengthening the United States' ability to prevent adversaries from smuggling nuclear materials into the country is a vital and ongoing issue. The prospect of additional countries, such as Iran, obtaining the know‐how and equipment to produce these special nuclear materials in the near future underscores the need for efficient and effective inspection policies at ports and border crossings. In addition, the reduction of defense and homeland security budgets in recent years has made it increasingly important to accomplish the interdiction mission with fewer funds. Addressing these complications, in this article, we present a novel two‐port interdiction model. We propose using prior inspection data as a low‐cost way of increasing overall interdiction performance. We provide insights into two primary questions: first, how should a decision maker at a domestic port use detection data from the foreign port to improve the overall detection capability? Second, what are potential limitations to the usefulness of prior inspection data—is it possible that using prior data actually harms decision making at the domestic port? We find that a boundary curve policy (BCP) that takes into account both foreign and domestic inspection data can provide a significant improvement in detection probability. This BCP also proves to be surprisingly robust, even if adversaries are able to infiltrate shipments during transit. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 433‐448, 2013     

Efficient distributions of arms‐control inspection effort

A rule that constrains decision‐makers is enforced by an inspector who is supplied with a fixed level of inspection resources—inspection personnel, equipment, or time. How should the inspector distribute its inspection resources over several independent inspectees? What minimum level of resources is required to deter all violations? Optimal enforcement problems occur in many contexts; the motivating application for this study is the role of the International Atomic Energy Agency in support of the Treaty on the Non‐Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Using game‐theoretic models, the resource level adequate for deterrence is characterized in a two‐inspectee problem with inspections that are imperfect in the sense that violations can be missed. Detection functions, or probabilities of detecting a violation, are assumed to be increasing in inspection resources, permitting optimal allocations over inspectees to be described both in general and in special cases. When detection functions are convex, inspection effort should be concentrated on one inspectee chosen at random, but when they are concave it should be spread deterministicly over the inspectees. Our analysis provides guidance for the design of arms‐control verification operations, and implies that a priori constraints on the distribution of inspection effort can result in significant inefficiencies. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

试论我国未来消防监督管理模式定位

当前我国消防监督管理工作模式仍与实际需要不相适应,积极创新、构建消防监督管理工作新模式,是强化消防工作,进一步推动社会和经济发展的需要。从当前消防监督管理模式的实际出发,尝试对该模式的未来改革定位进行分析,并提出了建议。     

边检机关围绕和谐通关创新社会管理的几点思考

边检机关围绕和谐通关创新社会管理,应进一步深化“服务”理念,实现三个转变;把握“创新”实质,做到四个“坚持”;抓住关键环节,加强制度建设;让群众在口岸通行时更快捷、更便利、更文明、更有尊严。